Friday, October 11, 2019

COSTING CONSERVATIVES

Dr. Jennifer Robson (@JenniferRobson8), Associate Professor, AKC, Carleton U Teach: political mgt & policy. Research: social policy & poverty Prev: worked in gov & vol sector provided the following info on Andrew Scheer's finally released Conservative Platform. 

She posted the following on her twitter feed:

"New data folks. Scheer & the Conservatives keep claiming that 80% of "Canadians" are paying more taxes today than under the previous government. I've already commented, at length, on the problems with this claim (it's from a flawed study on ONLY families with kids, it ignores key credits.
I just spent some time looking at the CRA's data on ACTUAL federal taxes paid (not simulations or projections). I looked at 2014 (more indicative, IMHO of tax trends under the last government than 2015), adjusted values to constant $ & compared to most recent (2017 tax year) data.
In 2014, mean personal federal income taxes paid (BEFORE refundable credits & benefits) were $5,262.  In 2017, mean personal federal income taxes paid (BEFORE refundable credits and benefits) were $5,237. $5,237 is NOT bigger than $5,262.
If it were true, as the @CPC_HQ keep claiming, that 80% of Canadians are paying MORE then we shouldn't find that mean personal federal taxes are lower, in constant dollar terms. Remember folks, this is BEFORE refundable tax credits like child benefits, GST credit ++
Here are the CRA tables in case you want to do the math for yourself: Source for 2014: (CPI, 1=1.0883)

https://www.canada.ca/en/revenue-agency/programs/about-canada-revenue-agency-cra/income-statistics-gst-hst-statistics/individual-tax-statistics-tax-bracket/individual-tax-statistics-tax-bracket-2016-edition-2014-tax-year.html

and 2017:
https://www.canada.ca/en/revenue-agency/programs/about-canada-revenue-agency-cra/income-statistics-gst-hst-statistics/individual-tax-statistics-tax-bracket/individual-tax-statistics-tax-bracket-2019-edition-2017-tax-year.html"

Learned people are looking at this and saying it's full of cat pooh.  Even the Conservative endorsing Globe and Mail has come out against it.  But Scheer will be Canada's next Prime Minister if people don't check their riding out at 338Canada.com and vote to keep them out of power.

NOW IS NOT THE TIME TO WAIVER - YOUR COUNTRY NEEDS YOU!

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